Unfortunately, information about the author is unknown to us. But you can add it. Read full biography of Bruce Bueno de Mesquita →
There are lots of people shaping decisions, and so if we want to predict correctly, we have to pay attention to everybody who is trying to shape the... →
Dictators, unlike Democrats, depend on a small coterie to sustain their power. These backers, generally drawn from the military, the senior civil... →
To understand why dictators fall, it helps to recognise factors that produce a perfect anti-dictatorial storm. Barring missteps such as those that... →
If you're running a dictatorship, you don't really have to worry about the welfare or the property rights of the ordinary citizen. Only the... →
In order to predict effectively, we need to use science. And the reason that we need to use science is because then we can reproduce what we're... →
There is an interesting interplay between power corrupting and corruption empowering. The causality does not go one way.
I engage in the use of game theory. Game theory is a branch of mathematics, and that means, sorry, that even in the study of politics, math has come... →
I'm not engaged in predicting random number generators. I actually get phone calls from people who want to know what lottery numbers are going to... →
We really can't tell the difference between people who might seek power for some greater good and people who seek power just to aggrandize... →
I'm not an Iran expert.
Pretty much, you point to a problem and good reasoning about why people are doing what they are doing and what constraints they face in terms of how... →
The fact that we see some people doing what appears to be good civic-minded deeds may be because that is their true intention, and it may be that... →
We probably could more successfully resolve the North Korean nuclear threat through game-theoretic reasoning. We could successfully resolve what... →
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